Excelsior Maassluis vs Zwaluwen .30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CAP
0 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
ASW
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
KAT
4 - 2
EXC
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
DTO
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
NOO
0 - 2
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ZWA
1 - 1
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
LIS
4 - 1
ZWA
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ZWA
2 - 2
QUI
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TGR
1 - 2
ZWA
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ZWA
0 - 0
RIJ
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |