Excelsior .31 vs Urk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
AZS
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 0
EXC
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ACV
3 - 2
EXC
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
DOS
88%
9%
4%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 3
BOS
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
URK
3 - 1
DOS
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACV
3 - 3
URK
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AZS
3 - 3
URK
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
URK
3 - 1
APE
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
URK
0 - 0
FLE
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |