Evry vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
EVR
0 - 4
CHA
14%
19%
66%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
EVR
0 - 1
THO
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
REI
0 - 1
EVR
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2000 |
EVR
3 - 2
CLE
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
VAL
2 - 1
EVR
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
LUS
4 - 1
SAN
71%
20%
10%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
NIO
1 - 1
LUS
40%
28%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCG
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
NIC
3 - 0
LUS
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ARL
1 - 1
LUS
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |