Evesham United vs Lichfield City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 4
KID
22%
24%
54%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHE
9%
19%
73%
|
25 | 63 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
EVE
0 - 3
BOS
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
EVE
1 - 1
BID
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lichfield City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
UTF
1 - 1
LIC
8%
14%
78%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LIC
3 - 2
HAU
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
STO
0 - 4
LIC
27%
21%
53%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
LIC
2 - 4
BAR
28%
21%
52%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
HAL
7 - 1
LIC
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |