Evesham United vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 0
EVE
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
EVE
2 - 4
LIC
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 4
KID
22%
24%
54%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHE
9%
19%
73%
|
25 | 63 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CIR
1 - 1
BID
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
RGG
0 - 2
CIR
11%
15%
74%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CIR
3 - 0
LYM
92%
6%
2%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CIR
3 - 2
BRI
79%
12%
8%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CIR
3 - 2
DID
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | +1 |