Evesham United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
3 - 2
EVE
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
3 - 0
EVE
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
EVE
1 - 1
HAM
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EVE
2 - 0
TUF
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
EVE
0 - 0
WUN
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MAF
5 - 3
BAS
45%
21%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 2
WIM
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 2
BAS
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 3
BAS
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 0
BAS
29%
21%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |