Evesham United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
EVE
1 - 0
SHO
21%
23%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 1
EVE
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
TIV
3 - 1
EVE
57%
24%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
EVE
0 - 0
LAR
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 0
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 4
SWI
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
11 - 0
BAS
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 4
YAT
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
DID
7 - 0
BAS
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 1
SHO
27%
26%
47%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |