Everton vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
OPA
2 - 1
EVE
37%
29%
35%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
EVE
3 - 1
STO
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
EVE
2 - 1
MID
65%
22%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
BBU
0 - 0
EVE
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
EVE
2 - 0
WBA
69%
20%
12%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
WIG
1 - 0
HUL
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 2
WIG
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
WIG
0 - 1
WHU
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 1
WIG
74%
18%
8%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MID
0 - 0
WIG
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |