Everton vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
EVE
2 - 0
TOT
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1983 |
ASV
2 - 0
EVE
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
EVE
3 - 0
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
EVE
2 - 1
STF
80%
13%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 1
EVE
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1983 |
TOT
1 - 0
SWA
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
SWA
1 - 3
WAT
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
COV
0 - 0
SWA
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
SWA
2 - 0
NOT
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWA
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |