Everton vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1990 |
WRE
0 - 5
EVE
20%
25%
56%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
EVE
2 - 3
LIV
23%
25%
53%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
SUN
2 - 2
EVE
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1990 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
MAC
1 - 0
EVE
36%
27%
36%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1990 |
ROC
0 - 5
SOU
12%
17%
72%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
MUD
3 - 2
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
SOU
2 - 0
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1990 |
NTT
3 - 1
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
SOU
1 - 2
LUT
60%
22%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |