Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
70.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 2
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
WBA
0 - 1
EVE
19%
22%
60%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 2
EVE
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FUL
0 - 3
MAC
5%
14%
80%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 2
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 2
MUD
67%
19%
15%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
4 - 1
WOL
82%
12%
6%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |