Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1991 |
CHA
1 - 2
EVE
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1991 |
CHL
1 - 2
EVE
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1990 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
68%
21%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1990 |
EVE
1 - 0
ASV
56%
24%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1990 |
NOR
1 - 0
EVE
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
BUR
0 - 1
MAC
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1991 |
MAC
0 - 1
ARS
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1990 |
NTT
1 - 3
MAC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1990 |
SOU
2 - 1
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1990 |
MAC
0 - 2
CRY
53%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |