Everton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
WBA
0 - 1
EVE
19%
22%
60%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 2
EVE
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 3
MAC
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
ARS
18%
23%
58%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEI
20%
24%
57%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TOT
4 - 0
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
WBA
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
FUL
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |