Europa Point vs Lions Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
COL
1 - 3
EUR
26%
21%
53%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
EUR
2 - 4
MON
15%
21%
65%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
JOS
4 - 0
EUR
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
EUR
1 - 6
LRI
2%
10%
88%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GLA
3 - 0
EUR
41%
23%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
LIO
3 - 2
COL
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MON
0 - 0
LIO
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LRI
3 - 0
LIO
91%
7%
2%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
LIO
0 - 1
CEU
3%
8%
89%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
MAG
0 - 0
LIO
55%
22%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |