Etoile Carouge vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ETO
2 - 4
BEL
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
STA
2 - 2
ETO
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ETO
0 - 0
BAV
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BLA
0 - 0
ETO
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
ETO
0 - 0
CHA
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 1
NEX
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
KRI
2 - 3
WIN
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
WIN
3 - 0
THU
26%
23%
51%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
DEL
0 - 6
WIN
13%
18%
69%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
WIN
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |