Ethiopia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ETH
2 - 2
SDN
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ETH
1 - 1
SDN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 1
ETH
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
RWA
54%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 5
ETH
12%
20%
69%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ZAF
2 - 1
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
MWI
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MWI
1 - 1
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ZMB
0 - 1
MOZ
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
ZMB
16%
23%
62%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |