Ethiopia vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 3
GIN
26%
25%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GIN
2 - 0
ETH
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
RWA
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LBY
3 - 1
ETH
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
DZA
1 - 0
ETH
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
MWI
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 4
EGY
10%
23%
67%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
MWI
10%
23%
67%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |