Ethiopia vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
SDN
2 - 3
ETH
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ZWE
1 - 1
ETH
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ETH
1 - 1
GHA
24%
27%
50%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 0
ETH
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ETH
1 - 3
ZAF
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NGA
1 - 1
CPV
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CPV
2 - 1
CAF
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CPV
1 - 0
LBR
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
LBR
1 - 2
CPV
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
CPV
1 - 2
NGA
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |