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Africa Cup of Nations. Group A, Matchday 1

Ethiopia vs Cape Verde analysis

Ethiopia Cape Verde
30 ELO 56
33% Tilt 18%
2496º General ELO ranking 537º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.6%
Ethiopia
23.6%
Draw
42.8%
Cape Verde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
Etiopía
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.8%
Win probability
Cabo Verde
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Basic stats

43
57
POS
7
11
SOT
1
6
COR
0
1
GF
1
0
GC
13
11
FRK
30
56
ELO
1.5
1.7
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Ethiopia
Their league position
Cape Verde
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
4
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Camerún
7
7
100%
Burkina Faso
4
4
50%
Cabo Verde
4
4
50%
Etiopía
1
1
100%
Expected probabilities
Ethiopia
Cape Verde
Next phase
0% 50%
Could qualify for next round
0% 50%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Etiopía
ETH
Cabo Verde
CPV
Camerún
CAM
Burkina Faso
BFA
Gabón
GAB
Comoras
COM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Etiopía
Etiopía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ETH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 2021
SDN
Sudán
2 - 3
Etiopía
ETH
45%
27%
28%
374 377 3 +26
14 Nov. 2021
ZIM
Zimbabue
1 - 1
Etiopía
ETH
57%
23%
20%
503 1061 558 +3
11 Nov. 2021
ETH
Etiopía
1 - 1
Ghana
GHA
17%
21%
63%
498 1840 -1342 +5
12 Oct. 2021
RSA
Sudáfrica
1 - 0
Etiopía
ETH
72%
17%
11%
500 1530 1030 -2
09 Oct. 2021
ETH
Etiopía
1 - 3
Sudáfrica
RSA
22%
24%
55%
504 1526 -1022 -4

Matches

Cabo Verde
Cabo Verde
1%
X%
2%
ELO CPV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2021
NGA
Nigeria
1 - 1
Cabo Verde
CPV
65%
20%
15%
1206 2037 831 +4
13 Nov. 2021
CPV
Cabo Verde
2 - 1
República Centroafricana
CTA
57%
23%
20%
1202 775 427 +4
10 Oct. 2021
CPV
Cabo Verde
1 - 0
Liberia
LBR
57%
24%
19%
1198 805 393 +4
07 Oct. 2021
LBR
Liberia
1 - 2
Cabo Verde
CPV
37%
28%
35%
1193 810 -383 +5
07 Sep. 2021
CPV
Cabo Verde
1 - 2
Nigeria
NGA
29%
26%
45%
1196 1960 -764 -3