Ethiopia U20s vs Yibuti Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BDI
1 - 0
ETH
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ETH
0 - 2
BDI
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
GHA
4 - 0
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ETH
2 - 1
GHA
9%
18%
73%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
SOM
0 - 2
ETH
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |