Etar vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 2
ETA
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ETA
3 - 1
SOZ
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
FKV
1 - 1
ETA
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ETA
2 - 2
CSK
35%
27%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BGA
0 - 2
ETA
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NES
2 - 1
LSO
17%
25%
58%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
POM
3 - 1
NES
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
NES
1 - 2
SEP
76%
15%
8%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
NES
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
NES
3 - 0
OBO
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +3 |