Etar vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
61.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
ETA
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
ETA
0 - 4
CVA
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
FCT
3 - 0
ETA
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
BOT
3 - 0
ETA
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
ETA
3 - 1
LOV
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
LUD
0 - 1
MID
48%
23%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CVA
1 - 4
LUD
22%
27%
52%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
BUD
1 - 3
LUD
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
LUD
3 - 0
SSO
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BVR
3 - 1
LUD
18%
26%
56%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |