Etar vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BER
2 - 1
ETA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ETA
3 - 3
SEP
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
LPO
4 - 3
ETA
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
ETA
1 - 3
SSO
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 0
ETA
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
CSK
0 - 0
CVA
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CVA
1 - 4
BER
32%
31%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CVA
1 - 0
TOS
27%
26%
48%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
TIR
0 - 0
CVA
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
SEP
2 - 1
CVA
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |