Tecos vs Atlético Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
3 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
EST
4 - 1
MIN
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 0
EST
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
EST
1 - 3
ZAC
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 3
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 3
COR
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DUR
4 - 1
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 2
NAY
3%
16%
81%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TEM
3 - 0
ATL
86%
11%
3%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 3
REY
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |