Estudiantes La Plata vs Sarmiento La Banda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
EST
3 - 2
CCS
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ALD
2 - 2
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
EST
1 - 0
BAN
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
IRV
2 - 2
EST
44%
27%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
EST
2 - 0
RAC
44%
26%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento La Banda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
AND
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
VIL
29%
31%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAR
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
GER
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GER
0 - 1
SAR
38%
31%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |