Estudiantes La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
EST
33%
29%
39%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
TIG
60%
23%
17%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
RAC
47%
26%
27%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CAU
0 - 1
EST
29%
28%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
IMI
1 - 1
NOB
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
NOB
0 - 4
RAC
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CAU
1 - 3
NOB
37%
29%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
NOB
1 - 0
BEL
49%
28%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |