Estudiantes La Plata vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
NOB
0 - 0
EST
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
EST
3 - 1
CFE
77%
15%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
BOC
1 - 2
EST
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
EST
1 - 0
INS
66%
17%
16%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
CIP
2 - 1
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
RIV
1 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
RIV
0 - 0
CAU
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1979 |
CAU
1 - 1
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
CEN
1 - 3
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1979 |
RIV
4 - 0
CEN
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |