Copa Libertadores . Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Estudiantes La Plata vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 0
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ATP
0 - 0
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
BAN
54%
26%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
BOC
3 - 1
EST
43%
27%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
BAR
69%
21%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 3
ATP
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ATP
0 - 0
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
ATP
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |