Venezuelan Cup Fase de Grupos Jor. 1

Estudiantes de Mérida vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis

Estudiantes de Mérida Atlético El Vigía FC
62 ELO 51
8.5% Tilt 12.9%
2001º General ELO ranking 3498º
13º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Estudiantes de Mérida
19.3%
Draw
15.6%
Atlético El Vigía FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
Estudiantes de Mérida
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.6%
Win probability
Atlético El Vigía FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estudiantes de Mérida
+6%
-21%
Atlético El Vigía FC

ELO progression

Estudiantes de Mérida
Atlético El Vigía FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estudiantes de Mérida
Estudiantes de Mérida
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2024
EST
Estudiantes de Mérida
2 - 1
Rayo Zuliano
DRZ
49%
25%
26%
61 58 3 0
13 Apr. 2024
POR
Portuguesa FC
3 - 2
Estudiantes de Mérida
EST
50%
26%
24%
61 70 9 0
06 Apr. 2024
EST
Estudiantes de Mérida
3 - 1
Zamora FC
ZAM
39%
26%
35%
60 64 4 +1
31 Mar. 2024
EST
Estudiantes de Mérida
1 - 2
La Guaira
DEP
32%
27%
41%
60 68 8 0
24 Mar. 2024
CAR
Carabobo
1 - 0
Estudiantes de Mérida
EST
62%
22%
16%
61 72 11 -1

Matches

Atlético El Vigía FC
Atlético El Vigía FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2024
ARA
Aragua FC
2 - 0
Atlético El Vigía FC
ATL
48%
26%
26%
53 57 4 0
25 May. 2024
HFF
Héroes de Falcón
1 - 0
Atlético El Vigía FC
ATL
49%
25%
26%
53 57 4 0
19 May. 2024
ATL
Atlético El Vigía FC
3 - 3
Ureña
URE
25%
26%
49%
53 61 8 0
12 May. 2024
ATL
Atlético El Vigía FC
1 - 1
Real Frontera FC
FRO
47%
26%
28%
53 50 3 0
05 May. 2024
TRU
Trujillanos
3 - 2
Atlético El Vigía FC
ATL
45%
26%
30%
53 54 1 0
X