Estudiantes de Mérida vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
EST
0 - 0
ZAM
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LAR
2 - 1
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
LLA
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 0
EST
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
CFC
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 1
TRU
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
APC
1 - 2
ARA
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
ARA
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 2
EST
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |