Estudiantes de Mérida vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
EST
0 - 2
MIR
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
TUC
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 3
EST
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
ZAM
27%
29%
45%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 3
TAC
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
YAR
1 - 1
ARA
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 1
MIR
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 0
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
TUC
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |