Sportivo Estudiantes vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
IRV
1 - 0
CSE
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 1
BUC
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
CCS
0 - 1
CSE
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 1
ALM
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
CSE
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 0
CDN
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
RSA
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 1
CHA
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
INS
2 - 2
RSA
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 3
ARG
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |