Estrella vs Atletico Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 1
EST
18%
24%
59%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
EST
2 - 3
VSB
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 0
EST
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
VEC
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
UNV
1 - 1
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 2
TEL
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SDT
1 - 1
VIC
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
3 - 0
RSI
44%
25%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 1
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
3 - 2
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |