Estrela Vendas Novas vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
REA
4 - 1
EVN
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
OLH
1 - 1
EVN
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
EVN
4 - 2
CAS
20%
26%
54%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +5 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PIN
0 - 1
EVN
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EVN
3 - 1
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TIR
0 - 0
PAR
49%
26%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PED
0 - 2
PAR
25%
24%
52%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 0
SMP
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 1
TRO
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
AMA
0 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |