Estrela Portalegre U19 vs Real SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
80%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-94%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
8º
7º
26
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Portalegre U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EPO
0 - 4
RSC
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 0
EPO
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EPO
0 - 4
CDF
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
EST
3 - 0
EPO
16%
19%
66%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
EPO
2 - 1
LOU
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EPO
0 - 4
RSC
7%
14%
79%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 2
CSC
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 1
RSC
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 1
MAF
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
RSC
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |