Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
EST
66%
20%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
NVE
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
EST
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
74%
18%
9%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 1
VFC
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
VIT
5%
12%
83%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
DES
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
74%
18%
9%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |