Estrela do Norte vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 2
EST
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 3
VIT
14%
21%
65%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
EST
66%
20%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
NVE
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
EST
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
DES
2 - 2
VFC
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
46 | 10 | 36 | -3 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
DES
68%
20%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DES
2 - 0
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
DES
69%
20%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |