Estrela Amadora vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
49%
28%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
EST
3 - 1
BMA
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
VIT
0 - 0
EST
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
EST
1 - 0
TIR
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
EST
0 - 1
VST
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
PEN
0 - 0
UNM
42%
31%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
BOA
3 - 0
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
PEN
0 - 0
TIR
40%
31%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
FEI
2 - 1
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPB
31%
31%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |