Estrela Amadora vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
EST
1 - 2
DSA
86%
11%
3%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
EST
2 - 2
FCP
22%
26%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 1
EST
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
EST
0 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1997 |
FIO
0 - 1
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
SLB
3 - 4
SAL
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
SLB
3 - 1
AVE
93%
6%
1%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1997 |
SLB
0 - 2
FIO
52%
25%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
CHA
3 - 1
SLB
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |