Estrela Amadora Sub 23 vs Benfica Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
3º
2º
8
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 15 |
3º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 15 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
VIZ
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 0
EST
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
1 - 0
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
EST
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
BES
1 - 0
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
BES
1 - 2
FAM
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 2
BES
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BES
1 - 3
VIZ
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
EST
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |