Primeira Liga . Jor. 3

Estoril vs Rio Ave analysis

Estoril Rio Ave
68 ELO 72
7.2% Tilt -10.4%
887º General ELO ranking 835º
14º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
40.1%
Estoril
27.3%
Draw
32.6%
Rio Ave

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
Estoril
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.6%
Win probability
Rio Ave
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estoril
+10%
+5%
Rio Ave

Points and table prediction

Estoril
Their league position
Rio Ave
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
15º
14º
40
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Benfica
87
87
100%
Porto
85
85
100%
Sporting Braga
78
78
100%
Sporting CP
74
74
100%
Arouca
54
54
100%
Vitória Guimarães
53
53
100%
Chaves
46
46
100%
Famalicão
44
44
0%
Boavista
44
44
0%
Casa Pia AC
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Vizela
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Rio Ave
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Gil Vicente
13º
37
37
13º
100%
Estoril
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Portimonense
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Marítimo
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Paços de Ferreira
17º
23
23
17º
100%
CD Santa Clara
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Estoril
Rio Ave
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Estoril
Rio Ave
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estoril
Estoril
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2022
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
1 - 0
Estoril
EST
63%
22%
15%
68 76 8 0
06 Aug. 2022
EST
Estoril
2 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
35%
26%
39%
67 73 6 +1
24 Jul. 2022
EST
Estoril
1 - 3
Fulham
FUL
27%
24%
49%
68 81 13 -1
16 Jul. 2022
EST
Estoril
1 - 4
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
28%
28%
44%
68 84 16 0
16 Jul. 2022
EST
Estoril
1 - 0
Mafra
MAF
66%
20%
15%
68 58 10 0

Matches

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2022
SCP
Sporting CP
3 - 0
Rio Ave
RIO
73%
18%
9%
72 88 16 0
06 Aug. 2022
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 1
Vizela
VIZ
51%
26%
24%
73 65 8 -1
30 Jul. 2022
RIO
Rio Ave
1 - 0
Academico Viseu
ACV
76%
16%
8%
73 53 20 0
23 Jul. 2022
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 2
CD Santa Clara
SAN
45%
25%
30%
73 74 1 0
16 Jul. 2022
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
56%
24%
21%
73 69 4 0
X