Estoril vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
EST
2 - 3
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
TON
3 - 1
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
FAM
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 2
SLB
10%
17%
73%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
ARO
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 6
SPB
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 4
VIZ
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |