Estoril Sub 23 vs Sporting CP Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+89%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
6º
11
8º
11º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BES
3 - 1
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 1
EST
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
FAR
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
EST
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
SPO
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAF
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 1
SPO
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 4
POR
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 2
RIO
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |