Estoril U23 vs Mafra U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
6º
12
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
FAR
4 - 1
EST
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
EST
5 - 1
SPO
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BES
3 - 1
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 1
BES
11%
18%
71%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
MAF
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 1
MAF
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MAF
2 - 3
POR
30%
22%
49%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAF
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |