Estoril Sub 23 vs Mafra Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
6º
12
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
FAR
4 - 1
EST
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
EST
5 - 1
SPO
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BES
3 - 1
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mafra Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 1
BES
11%
18%
71%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
MAF
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 1
MAF
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MAF
2 - 3
POR
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAF
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |