Estoril Sub 23 vs Estrela Amadora Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
4º
1º
14
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 15 |
3º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 15 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
EST
4 - 0
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 2
BES
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
FAM
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
EST
3 - 2
VIZ
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
VIZ
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 0
EST
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
1 - 0
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
EST
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |