Estanciano vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TRE
4 - 0
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
EST
3 - 1
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GOI
0 - 2
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 0
AMA
75%
17%
9%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 8
AMA
18%
21%
60%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AMA
3 - 0
SOC
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 1
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |