Esposende vs Torcatense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esposende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
PRA
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
POU
1 - 2
ESP
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
SVE
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
ESP
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
AAL
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PED
1 - 0
TOR
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 3
TOR
11%
17%
72%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
BRA
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
VIL
17%
22%
62%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +4 |