Esportivo BG vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SLU
2 - 1
ESP
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 0
ESP
85%
12%
3%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
VER
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 2
ESP
42%
24%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ECS
0 - 2
ESP
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 0
ECS
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
SLU
29%
25%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 3
SCI
12%
21%
68%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |