Esportivo BG vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
SLU
1 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 2
REM
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 2
GRE
13%
26%
61%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 1
BRA
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRA
18%
24%
59%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
SCI
11%
23%
67%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
SLU
2 - 0
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 3
JUV
17%
23%
59%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
YPI
3 - 3
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |