Esportivo BG vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 1
YPI
26%
25%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
PEL
0 - 2
ESP
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
SLU
1 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
AIM
68%
19%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 0
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
16%
27%
58%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |