Espoir vs Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
DNI
2 - 1
ESP
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
NIG
2 - 0
ESP
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
POL
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
ASF
27%
28%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
URA
2 - 3
ESP
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
SAH
2 - 1
GNN
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
OLY
4 - 1
SAH
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SON
0 - 1
SAH
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 1
SAH
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SAH
2 - 2
POL
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |